Had Donald Trump tilted his head the other way, the bullet that clipped his ear would have killed him. America was half an inch away from a major civil crisis.
We don’t yet know the full details of this assassination attempt, but it is clear that Donald J Trump has been demonized by his opponents for years.
Of course, in politics you sometimes say negative things about your opponents. But the rhetoric aimed at Trump has often gone far beyond normal political back-and-forth. Trump’s opponents have set out to delegitimize him.
After losing to Trump in 2016, Hilary Clinton described him an ‘illegitimate’ president. Spurious allegations emerged suggesting he was somehow a Russian agent. Every effort was made to undermine his administration, often from within.
When Trump began to re-emerge as the Republican frontrunner in this election cycle, a number of prosecutors suddenly started to bring cases against him. Odd, that.
It seems to me that as in a Banana Republic, he was being persecuted through the courts for political reasons, as much as he was being prosecuted for breaking the law.
Now comes an assassin’s bullet, which narrowly missed Trump but did kill a fifty year old father attending a political rally.
We don’t yet know what motivated Trump’s would-be assassin, but we do know enough to ask where this growth of political extremism comes from.
The decline of religion means that politics has become, for many, a substitute belief system.
“When men choose not to believe in God” my fellow Englishman, GK Chesteron, once observed, “they do not thereafter believe in nothing, they then become capable of believing in anything.”
People need a sense of purpose, a framework that explains the world and their place in it. Without religion, many have adopted a belief system called climate change. Others a system called intersectionalism. Their place in the cosmos, they start to imagine, is defined in terms of where they sit in a hierarchy of victimhood.
Once you think this way, those who share your world view seem virtuous. Those that don’t become the ‘deplorables’. Anyone who just happens to have a different point of view is suddenly a moral affront. Such people must be no platformed.
Instead of viewing elections a process for deciding who holds office, they are seen as a Manichaen struggle of good against evil. Once you think this way, the ends begin to justify the means, with calamitous consequences.
Too many Americans are willing to always think the worst of fellow Americans, and it’s not just progressives who look for the worst in conservatives.
Take what happened in the wake of the attempted assassination. Many commentators appeared to almost want to find evidence of incompetence, or worse, conspiracy.
An apparent hesitation by Secret Service marksmen in engaging the gunman was somehow sinister, it was suggested. Commentators without much experience of close personal protection were quick to inform us that the female Secret Service agents could not handle their weapons properly.
Really? Why assume the worst? Why not start from the position that what we witnessed were professionals under intense pressure, making life and death decisions, and doing the best they could?
I’m an immigrant that looks at America as an outsider. Born in Britain, and raised in Uganda, I came to America by choice (and good fortune).
I don’t look about me trying to find fault in my new home. I see instead an extraordinary country that it is a great privilege to be part of. I see the most hospitable, friendly, and innovative people on the planet all around me. I believe so strongly in the things that make America special so much, I even wrote a children’s book about it.
Each time I meet an American for the first time it never occurs to me to wonder if they vote Republican or Democrat. To me, they are just American, and all the better for it.
We need to stop looking at each other through the prism of politics. It’s not good for us, for our politics or for America.
America faces an axis of aggression. China, Russia, Iran and North Korea are not only actively undermining US interests. They increasingly seem to be working together.
How should America respond?
According to a new report published by Mississippi Senator, Roger Wicker, America needs a new national defense strategy capable of responding to this “emerging axis of aggressors”. “21st Century Peace Through Strength: a generational investment in the US military” offers a serious analysis of US military capabilities and makes some important recommendations.
Wicker calls for an immediate $55 billion increase in military spending in 2025, on top of the almost $900 billion existing budget. The aim, he suggests, should be for the United States to spend around 5 percent of GDP on defense.
To put that in context, America today spends 3.4 GDP percent on defense, and has not spent more than 5 percent since Ronald Reagan was in the White House. Reagan famously won the Cold War, facing down the Soviet threat by beefing up American strength. Wicker envisions a similar approach in “Peace through Strength”.
What is really interesting about Wicker’s proposal is not the call for more money for the military, but his suggestion that there should be a “dramatic increase in competition in the defense industrial base”. Senator Wicker is right. Often, we think of applying free market principles to education or healthcare. There is a very powerful argument for applying free market discipline to defense spending, too.
With the national debt growing, it is vital that America gets the maximum bang for every defense buck. Wicker puts forward ideas as to how to make this happen through far reaching “acquisition reform”. Allowing more market competition in the defense sector would help ensure that America avoided the sorry fate of my own native Britain.
The UK spends about $70 billion a year on defense. That might be less than a tenth of what America spends, but it still means that the UK has the sixth largest defense budget in the world, above Japan and roughly on a parr with Russia.
Unfortunately, Britain has not been effective at converting what she is able to spend on defense into military muscle. Despite spending all that money, British aircraft carriers seldom seem to carry many aircraft. Indeed, the expensive new carriers don’t always seem to be able to spend much time at sea. The less said about British tanks the better.
UK defense acquisition has been a series of costly disasters because the defense budget is often spent in the interests of various favored suppliers, rather than the military.
I first became aware of quite how bad British defense acquisition was on a visit to Afghanistan as a Member of the British Parliament. Troops in Helmand complained about a shortage of helicopters, yet I noticed rows of American Black Hawk helicopters on the runway back in Kandahar.
Why, I wanted to know, didn’t we Brits just buy Black Hawks from the American company that made them? I soon discovered that British defense acquisition is viewed by some as a giant job creation scheme. Or else it is about filling the order books of well-connected companies, not giving the military what they need.
America needs acquisition reform to avoid defense dollars being spent by various vested interests, rather than on the best interests of the US military. Some will say that America cannot afford to increase defense spending. I worry that America cannot afford not to.
Years of federal deficits mean than the US national debt is soaring. There will be enormous pressures on federal spending. All the more reason to ensure that the US gets maximum value for every defense dollar.
Let’s hope Wicker’s reforms are acted upon whoever is in the White House.
So often politics focuses on trivia. What Wicker has done is produce a serious study to address important geo political questions that the United States is going to have to deal with.
Putting America first does not mean ignoring what is happening on the other side of the world. Merely wishing away anything outside the Western hemisphere does not make the United States more secure. It ultimately means that the world’s problems will show up at the US border.
Putting America first means investing in defense. Wicker shows how we might do that.
Mississippi is almost surrounded by states that have school choice. Why don’t we?
Last week Governor Jeff Landry of Louisiana signed into law the Gator Scholarship program. From 2025, Louisiana families can receive state funds to pay for educational expenses to meet their child’s individual needs.
Alabama passed similar legislation a few months ago. Arkansas did something similar in 2023.
In Mississippi, nothing. Why?
It is not as if Mississippi doesn’t have a conservative majority. Conservatives have been in charge of the Mississippi House, Senate and Governor's mansion since 2012.
Conservatives in Alabama and Arkansas have had control for about the same length of time as in our state. Somehow, they seem to have done something with it.
Louisiana conservatives have achieved more school choice in 12 months than Mississippi conservatives have managed in 12 years. Gov Landry only won back the Governor’s Mansion last year and he signed school choice into law last week.
A major part of the problem is that many leaders in Mississippi refuse to see the need for reform. They want to believe that education standards are improving and that there’s just not much need to change.
Here’s why they are wrong:
- 1 in 4 school children in our state are chronically absent. That’s 108,310 children in 2022-23, up dramatically from 70,275 in 2016-17. If Mississippi education is as good as they say it is, why are so many kids not showing up?
- 8 out of 10 eighth grade kids in Mississippi were not proficient in math in 2022.
- Almost 7 in 10 fourth grade kids in Mississippi were not proficient in reading in 2022.
How many Mississippi politicians would be willing to send their kids to a school with those standards?
- Almost 4 in 10 fourth graders in 2022 did not even reach the basic reading standard. Let’s quit pretending things are fine when our current system is unable to teach ten year olds the basics of reading.
Reform is difficult. If you are a conservative, overhauling anything involving the public sector means stirring up a hornet’s nest of opposition. It’s easier to buddy up to the absurdly misnamed “Parent’s Campaign” and defend the status quo. I get all that.
Here’s why Mississippi conservatives absolutely have to use the majority they have to achieve school choice.
Over the past thirty years, we have seen the ideological takeover of much of America by the far left. If you had told me at the time of the Iraq war or even when Obama was in the White House that American students would be protesting in support of Hamas in 2024, I would not have believed you. Today it happens frequently.
A generation ago, corporate America did not demand to know your preferred pronouns. Today you can hardly apply for a job at a big firm without doing so. Where do you think this ideological extremism came from? It has been made possible by the influence of critical theory ideologues on our education system.
Of course, not every school is a hotbed of ‘woke’ intersectional ideology. But the only way to stop the advance of ‘woke’ ideology in America is to give parents back control over their child’s education.
The lesson of the past 30 years is that unless conservative America has a plan to take back control of the education system, the left will win. It is not enough to run for office as a conservative because you happen to hunt or have the right bumper stickers on your truck.
Conservatives in office who do nothing to advance school choice are assisting, however unwittingly, the radical left in their capture of this country.
We cannot afford another decade of wasted opportunities to achieve school choice.
Mississippi’s Department of Education was quick to trumpet signs of an improvement in education standards. According to a gushing press release they put out, Mississippi has risen up the national education rankings from 48th to 30th over the past decade.
“Great!” you might think. “It’s wonderful to see an improvement in education standards in Mississippi”. But has there really been an improvement?
The Department of Education pronouncement was based on a recently released report from the Annie E. Casey Foundation, which itself used data from the US Department of Education’s National Assessment of Education Progress (NAEP).
I took a closer look at the NAEP data behind what was being claimed, and it is clear that any improvements in Mississippi’s education ranking owe more to a decline in standards in other states, rather than to any substantive improvements in our own.
Between 2015 and 2022, Mississippi went from 46th for fourth grade reading to 18th. Progress, yes, but the average fourth grade NAEP score in reading only rose from 214 to 217.
In other words, the improvement in ranking in fourth grade reading scores since 2015 is almost entirely a reflection of the fact that standards fell in other states.
The data also shows that while there has been an improvement in the percentage of fourth graders who are proficient in reading in Mississippi, the improvement happened before 2019. It almost certainly reflects the enactment of a package of literacy laws in 2013, which shifted the way Mississippians teach reading towards phonics, rather than any change in policies since.
There has not been progress in the past five years, and any change in our ranking reflects the fact that other states have just done worse than we have.
In 2022, Mississippi ranked 44th in eight grade NAEP math, compared to 46th in 2015. Not only was there little relative improvement, the state’s average NAEP eighth grade math score actually fell from 271 in 2015 to 266 in 2022.
It is profoundly misleading to present evidence of Mississippi’s relative improvement as evidence of any kind of absolute rise in standards.
Here are some facts that the Department of Education could have included in their press release, but didn’t:
- 82 percent of 8th grade kids in Mississippi were not proficient math in 2022.
- 69 percent of 4th grade kids in Mississippi were not proficient in reading in 2022.
- Almost 4 in 10 fourth graders in 2022 did not even reach the basic reading standard.
Instead of propaganda, the Department of Education could take a look at its own data which shows that almost one in four Mississippi students — 108,000 children — are chronically absent from school.
The rate of chronic absenteeism has in fact skyrocketed from 70,275 in 2016-17 to 108,310 in 2022-23.
“So what?” you might say. “Of course, officials are going to present what they do in the most positive light”.
It matters deeply because until we have an honest conversation about the true state of education in our state, we aren’t going to see the changes Mississippi desperately needs. Mississippi is now surrounded on three sides by states that have embraced universal school choice. In Arkansas, Alabama and Louisiana, the money will follow the child. Families in those states will get control over their child’s share of state education funds.
Change only came about because there was a recognition of reality, and realization that reform was urgent and essential.
The reason there has been so little progress towards school choice in our state is because too many policy makers believe our education system is doing better than it actually is.
Before I came to Mississippi, I was a Member of the British Parliament for 12 years for Clacton. Donald Trump's friend, Nigel Farage, has now decided to run for election in Clacton on July 4th.
I'm delighted and I encouraged Nigel to run the moment it was announced that there would be a General Election. (I know, the Brits do politics differently with flexible, rather than fixed, terms)
Back in the old country, the Conservative party faces annihilation.
Having sat in office since 2010, Britain’s Conservatives have failed to govern on conservative principles. Today, their supporters are abandoning them for Nigel Farage’s new Reform party.
Perhaps this should serve as a stark warning for those who campaign as conservatives, but who govern as progressives.
Here in Mississippi, Republicans have been in charge since 2011, about as long as Britain’s Conservatives.
Where are the big strategic changes our state needs? What reforms are being advanced to elevate Mississippi?
There are, I would suggest, three top challenges Mississippi faces:
- The state of education: Sure, there might have been some marginal improvements in standards thanks to the use of phonics. Overall education standards remain poor. Two out of three 4th graders in government schools fail to achieve proficiency in reading or math. Almost one in four Mississippi students are chronically absent from school.
- Low labor participation: At a time when millions of migrants are moving to America to work, often illegally, nothing of substance has been done in our state to address the fact that 48 percent of Mississippi adults of working age are not even active in the labor market.
- DEI in state institutions: Despite having conservatives elected, many of Mississippi’s public institutions, including universities, are run by those beholden to Marxist academic ideology.
Imagine if we were to use the notionally conservative majority in our state to accomplish actual conservative reforms to tackle any of this?
Here is a list of some of the bills that were blocked in the most recent legislative session:
- Ballot initiative, passed by the House, blocked by the Senate.
- Anti DEI legislation, blocked.
- School choice. Allow families to choose schools between different districts. Blocked.
- Healthcare reform. Repeal intentionally restrictive laws that limit the provision of healthcare. Blocked.
The one big achievement of the session, Rep. Rob Roberson’s INSPIRE bill which personalizes school funding for students, passed because of Speaker White’s drive and determination. Eight weeks ago there were still some in the Senate intent on preserving the old Soviet-era funding formula.
Morton Blackwell, a great American hero who I happened to meet for tea in Jackson, once said that “In politics, nothing moves unless it’s pushed.”
He’s right. If we want to see conservative policies implemented in our state, we are going to have to do a lot of pushing!
Nobody likes to be pushed, particularly politicians. Leaders will not thank you for making them do something they would preferred not to have done, as my experience with Brexit taught me.
Here at the Mississippi Center for Public Policy we are 100 percent in the business of pushing for the kind of bold, principled conservative reforms we need.
We need to start using our conservative majority to deliver the kind of changes we are starting to see in Republican-run states throughout the South.
You can tell a lot about someone’s politics given what they might have to say about the conviction of Donald Trump.
Anyone telling you that Trump’s conviction is comeuppance for a sordid hush-money scandal, in which he broke the law, probably leans left.
Someone explaining that it was all a disgraceful attempt by Joe Biden’s Democrats to stop the 45th President from being re-elected, is likely to be a conservative.
In an increasingly post-religious society, politics has become a substitute belief system for many. The danger is that we view everything through the prism of politics.
Rather than ask what Trump’s conviction means for your side in the Reds versus Blues battle, perhaps what we ought to reflect on what this might all mean for America.
For most of human history, the law meant whatever the powerful said it meant. Anyone who has ever tried to do business in Russia or China knows that’s still the way things are in much of the non-Western world.
A system in which the law is elevated above the executive – in which the rule of law has supremacy – is historically unusual. Indeed, it is largely the creation of people who spoke and wrote in the language in which you are reading this.
It was English-speaking civilization that invented the notion that the powerful are constrained by rules, and that the rules should apply to everyone equally. A straight line runs from Magna Carta at Runnymede to the Founders at Philadelphia. The US Bill of
Rights of 1789 was preceded by an English Bill of Rights of 1689.
America has become the most successful society on earth precisely because in this Republic, government doesn’t get to change the rules as it likes.
“Exactly!” the anti-Trumpers will say. “Trump’s conviction is true to that tradition! Even former Presidents are subject to the same rules as everyone else”.
But is that really so? In what way has Trump been subjected to the same set of rules? Surely, those on the right will say, he has been singled out, prosecuted over something essentially trivial?
Those that brought the charges, it seems to me, were motivated by politics, rather than justice.
Prosecuting political rivals is what they do in Russia, Brazil or Malaysia. It is awful to see political prosecutions in the United States – and it bodes ill for the future of freedom in this country and around the world.
Twenty years ago, George Bush’s electoral strategist, Karl Rove, hit upon the idea of using ‘wedge-issues’ to galvanize the conservative base. At the time, Rove seemed to be remarkably successful. Republicans won.
Two decades on, I wonder if it was partly Rove’s ‘wedge-issue’ approach that provoked the left into doing something similar. Under Obama, the left became increasingly inflammatory. Perhaps there is a straight line that runs from the politics of ‘wedge-issues’ in the noughties to the culture wars we see today?
Some on the left might be tempted to celebrate the use of lawfare to try to take down a political opponent. They might want to stop and think first. It is, I worry, only a question of time before we start to see something similar from the right.
If lawfare becomes part of American politics, what chance is there that the United States remains exceptional compare with all those other less happy republics?
It is not just the legal process that America needs to de-politicize. We need to stop making everything a question of where you stand in the culture war. Your views on Disney or money management, Taylor Swift or Chick-Fil-A should not automatically correlate with the way you vote.
If it is politics alone that gives you a belief system in life, you are going to end up desperately disappointed with both politics and life.
The United States was founded by people that believed that to survive, a Republic needs a moral citizenry. America needs to believe in something above politics and beyond the next election cycle.